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6/23/2003

Hillary 2008 News

Hillary 2008 News

I saw Dick Morris speak the other day and he said this about Hillary 2008: she will run and she will win unless the Reps run Colin Powell or Condi Rice against her. I do not know if he is right or not but this man does know a thing or two about politics and Presedential elections. I think he may be on to something. He said the Dems know tht 2004 is a lost cause and that it will be used primarily to "clear out the underbrush" so that Hillary can be mostly unopposed in '08. Imagine a Bush-Clinton-Bush-Clinton succession in the White House. Scary.

OpinionJournal - Featured Article

As a general-election candidate, she is less than a sure thing. In an ABC News poll 53% said they did not want her to run for president. A recent Quinnipiac poll showed her trailing George W. Bush 53% to 40%. Her enthusiasts might dismiss this as due to Mr. Bush's current strength, but the fact is that 100% know her and 60% are not supporting her. She ran 5% behind Al Gore in New York in 2000; if she ran 5% behind him nationally, she would win 43% of the vote--not enough to win absent a second Perot candidacy. She remains one of the most polarizing figures ever in American politics. In 14 Gallup polls taken between December 1999 and June 2003, the percentage expressing negative feelings about her has ranged between 39% and 53% and averages 45%--very high negatives, far higher than any Republican nominee is likely to have going into the race. This makes it hard for her to maximize the Democratic vote in a year when the Democrats will not be, as they were in 1996 and 2000, the incumbent party in a time of apparent peace and apparent prosperity. And in those years the Democratic presidential candidates won only 49% and 48% of the vote.